Ohio: Count The Votes!
by kos, Daily Kos
Wed, Nov. 3rd, 2004 at 13:53:48 GMT
It's not over in Ohio. As this email notes:
Bush is currently leading in Ohio by 136,221.
If there are 250,000 provisional ballots outstanding – the highest number I've seen…
And 90% of those ballots are good, as they were in 2000… That leaves 225,000 votes.
If 85%
of those ballots prove to be for Kerry, about the number that Gore got
in 2000. That leaves us with 191,250, giving us a lead of 55,029.
If there are only 200,000 provisionals, following the same calculation would leave us with a lead of 16,779.
If the
provisional ballots are only 175,000 that leaves us with a deficit of
-2,346 – that will leave us in a position to get an automatic
statewide recount.
Or, to put it another way, an automatic recount is triggered by a margin of 0.25% or between 13,000 and 16,000 votes.
Now
Republicans will likely whine about lawyers and litigating the election
and stuff like that. Just note that Republicans are just as quick to
resort to the courts when they feel the integrity of the electoral
process is in danger.
Democrat
Brian Higgins is the expected winner in NY-27 with 51% of the vote
(132,999 Higgins, 129,159 Naples); however a late night legal manuever
by the Republicans will delay the victory as Republicans presented a
restraining order to stop the counting of ballots in the race.
Making
sure the will of the people is represented, that every vote is counted,
is paramount. If it takes lawyers and judges to arrive at a conclusive
answer, then so be it.
* * * * *
And Trish Nelson of Rapid Response – Iowa
reports that she just heard on AirAmerica Radio that the Bushies are
sending ground troops by car, by bus, by plane, etc., to claim their
“victory” in Ohio. Stay tuned.