Kerry Leads in 11 of 16 Swing States In New Zogby Poll
Ruy Teixeira, Emerging Democratic Majority
The Zogby Interactive Poll of LV's (likely voters) was conducted for the Wall St. Journal Sept. 13-17.
Kerry's leads (%):
Arkansas 0.1
Florida 0.5
Iowa 3.0
Michigan 6.0
Minnesota 9.7
New Hampshire 3.6
New Mexico 12.7
Oregon 12.0
Pennsylvania 3.1
Washington 8.7
Wisconsin 2.4
Bush's leads (%):
Missouri 5.4
Nevada 2.2
Ohio 3.3
Tennessee 5.5
West Virginia 12.4
Ruy Teixeira is a Senior Fellow at The Century Foundation and the Center for American Progress
The “Price/Hightower Election Analysis”
by Dr. Alta Price, MD, and ok, Jim Hightower, too
As for what is happening on the ground, DFIA Co-founder, Dr. Alta Price
has a theory that she calls the “Price/Hightower election
analysis.”
I'll let Alta continue in her own words:
I thought this [Price/Hightower election analysis] was mine, but Jim
Hightower said the same thing in my living room, so I'll give him
credit, too – LOL.
Just look at the 2000 election,
which Gore won by 500,000 votes. Here's who will vote for Kerry: all
the Gore voters, most of the Nader voters, a number of
Republicans/Independents who voted for Bush last time, people in the
military, I.T. workers with no more high-paying jobs who voted for
Bush, Log Cabin Republicans, 18-22 year olds (more than 50% of whom are
going to vote this year), every Muslim American, my secretary, who must
be nearly 60, and wants to vote this year for the first time in her
life and asked me for help getting registered, and I'm sure I'm
forgetting some groups.
Bush maxed out in 2000. Unless
someone has run into a lot of Gore voters who have told them, “Oh, this
time I'm definitely voting for Bush”…? Have any of you? Do you
possibly know LOTS of people – Republicans perhaps? – who have told you
they'll be voting for Kerry? I do.
I predict Kerry wins in a landslide (which we need to counter any
October surprise or touch-screen voting machine hanky panky – I admit,
those things may make the election “close”). And Kerry has Iowa in the
bag.
And if you're STILL worried and scared, this letter from Michael Moore may be just the thing for you….
by Michael Moore, of course
The Republicans Never Give Up, and Neither Will We
Dear Friends,
Enough of the handwringing! Enough
of the doomsaying! Do I have to come there and personally calm you
down? Stop with all the defeatism, OK? Bush IS a goner
– IF we all just quit our whining and bellyaching and stop shaking like
a bunch of nervous ninnies. Geez, this is embarrassing! The Republicans
are laughing at us. Do you ever see them cry, “Oh, it's all over! We
are finished! Bush can't win! Waaaaaa!”
Hell no. It's never over for them
until the last ballot is shredded. They are never finished – they just
keep moving forward like sharks that never sleep, always pushing,
pulling, kicking, blocking, lying.
They are relentless and that is why
we secretly admire them – they just simply never, ever give up. Only
30% of the country calls itself “Republican,” yet the Republicans own
it all – the White House, both houses of Congress, the Supreme Court
and the majority of the governorships. How do you think they've been
able to pull that off considering they are a minority? It's because
they eat you and me and every other liberal for breakfast and then
spend the rest of the day wreaking havoc on the planet.
…Kerry has brought in the Clinton A-team. Instead of shunning Clinton
(as Gore did), Kerry has decided to not make that mistake.
Traveling around the country, as I've been doing, I gotta tell ya,
there is a hell of a lot of unrest out there. Much of it is not being
captured by the mainstream press. But it is simmering and it is real.
Do not let those well-produced Bush rallies of angry white people scare
you. Turn off the TV! (Except Jon Stewart and Bill Moyers – everything
else is just a sugar-coated lie).
(To read moore of the Moore missive, click here.)
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